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According to China Chemical Network's "2010 Annual Fluoride Inventory", the price of anhydrous hydrogen fluoride exceeded the high of 9,000 yuan per ton in September 2010. In 2011, with the approach of February, the Spring Festival began. Can hydrofluoric acid break through the historical peak of 11,000 yuan/ton in 2008?
In June and July 2008, due to the increase in the prices of upstream raw materials and downstream demand, anhydrous hydrogen fluoride had reached a high of 11,000 yuan per ton. Two and a half years later, multiple positive factors are expected to push hydrofluoric acid to a record high.
"Inventory" pointed out that in the downstream refrigerant market of hydrofluoric acid, R22 prices have climbed from 7,000 yuan per ton at the beginning of 2010 to 22,000 yuan at the time of December 2010, and R22 mainstream factory quotation is at 24,000 yuan in late January 2011. Ton. Although the country will freeze the production of R22 refrigerant in 2013 and begin to gradually reduce production and consumption in 2015, the time to finally stop R22 is locked in 2030. However, starting in 2010, as the developed countries such as Europe and the United States stopped production of R22, it caused global R22 capacity contraction, together with the domestic air-conditioning market sales exceeded 40 million units, making R22 become a “strange cargoâ€. R22's strong momentum led to the rise of hydrofluoric acid and methane chlorides in the upper reaches, becoming the largest driving force for hydrofluoric acid to break through historical highs. The R22 environment will not change much in the short term. R22 will continue to rise in the first quarter of 2011.
In the "Stock Counting" forecast, the fluorite in the upper reaches of the hydrofluoric acid market is expected to exceed 2,000 yuan/ton under the favorable policy factors and continue to support the hydrofluoric acid market. 2011 is the first year of the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. The policy intensity will be comparable to that of 2010, and the price will continue at a high level.
On November 24, 2010, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued an opinion draft for the entry of the hydrogen fluoride industry. The formal industry access standards will be introduced after the Spring Festival. The hydrofluoric acid technology in China has been greatly improved in recent years, and the technical threshold has been reduced. However, the elevation of industry access standards has increased the cost of the company and has left some companies out of doors. The favorable policies will also boost hydrofluoric acid to a record high. The introduction of the hydrofluoric acid industry access will also inhibit the expansion of domestic hydrofluoric acid capacity.
Near the Spring Festival, the rain and snow in the south have brought adverse effects on traffic. The Spring Festival began and the traffic was tight. The impact of transportation has caused some difficulties for manufacturers to deliver on time. Combined with past experience, it will result in tighter prices.
Upstream and downstream markets, policies, and transportation have multiple factors favoring the hydrofluoric acid market, and hydrofluoric acid will set a record high.
In 2010, the fluorine chemical industry was given the title of “Gold Industry†and the related products in the industrial chain were ups and downs. “Industry Admissionâ€, “Twelfth Five-Yearâ€, “Energy Saving and Emission Reductionâ€, and “Refrigerant Substitution†have come one after another. The fluctuations in the chemical market will also have a long-term impact on the future of the entire industry. As the basic raw material of the fluorine chemical industry, hydrofluoric acid has undergone significant fluctuations in the upstream and downstream market conditions in 2010; the devices that were suspended for the first two years were focused on restarting production in 2010. In 2010, the production capacity of hydrofluoric acid increased by 25%; The export of stone and hydrofluoric acid will continue to be restricted in the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€, and the foreign fluorine chemical business will be transferred to the domestic market; the hydrofluoric acid market in 2010 will set the tone for the development of the fluorine chemical industry in the next five years and will affect the entire Fluorine chemical market.