Although China has just begun to implement the fifth phase of vehicle fuel (national five) standards, the implementation of the sixth phase of vehicle fuel (Six) standards has begun to count down. Recently, a reporter from Beijing Daily News learned that Beijing Municipal Environmental Protection Bureau has confirmed that Beijing will implement the Sixth National Standard on January 1, 2017. According to the plan of the Ministry of Environmental Protection, the domestic timetable for the implementation of the National Sixth Standard in stages is set for 2020.

In the industry, it is widely believed that the National Sixth Standard means that the auto companies' existing models have been fully upgraded, and the auto makers are facing the pressure of rising vehicle costs. At present, the implementation of the National Five Standards has made it difficult for some independent auto makers to parry. Once Beijing implements the Sixth National Standard, some auto companies will inevitably choose to “temporarily withdraw” from the Beijing market.

It is understood that Beijing Municipality took the lead in implementing the second, third, fourth and fifth stages of local oil standards in 2004, 2005, 2008 and 2012. Compared to the four-year preparation period for the country’s five-year upgrade, the six-nation standard has been reserved for companies for less than three years. The intensive upgrading of emission standards has already begun to allow car companies to “eat too much”.

A person in charge of research and development at a car company revealed that the emission standards have been upgraded, and at least a few hundred million yuan in R&D and inspection investment will be required for companies. Not only does it require a reserve of technology, it also takes at least a year for the product to upgrade from output to certification.

The data show that compared with the National Five Standards, the National Sixth Standard not only changed the type I test cycle, but also tightened the pollutant emission limits, increased the measurement requirements for the emission of particulates from gasoline vehicles, and introduced the “real” requirements of Euro VI standards. Driving Emission Test (RDE). At the same time, the new emission standards are also more stringent in terms of emission limits for pollutants, which increases the control requirements for pollutants in the refueling process.

It is expected that after the use of the sixth stage oil products, particulate emissions from gasoline vehicles will decrease by 10%, non-methane organic gases and nitrogen oxides can achieve an overall reduction rate of 8% to 12%; nitrogen oxide emissions from diesel vehicles will decrease. At 4.6%, particulate matter decreased by 9.1%, total hydrocarbons decreased by 8.3%, and carbon monoxide decreased by 2.2%. Faced with the improvement and upgrading of the overall system, the R&D of new vehicles will be severely tested on time and cost.

Zhang Zhiyong, a veteran automotive industry commentator, believes that as China VI draws on Euro VI standards, it is relatively easy for the joint venture car companies to improve and upgrade their technology reserves. However, for self-owned brand car companies, it is very likely that there will be another embarrassment in the implementation of the National Five Standards, and some models will not be able to sell in areas that are ahead of the implementation of the National Sixth Standard because they do not meet the emission standards.

In fact, prior to the upgrading of the National Five Standard, a car only increased the cost of 1,000-2,000 yuan. Although it is still unclear how much additional equipment will be added if the S6 standard is not finalized, the industry expects at least 10% more cost per vehicle.

In addition to cost pressures, shorter preparation times also put auto companies at risk. According to the regulations of the Ministry of Environmental Protection, the date for the implementation of the National Five Standard across the country is January 1, 2017, which is less than two months from now. The current situation of the Beijing Commercial Daily reporter is that some auto brands have just completed a full upgrade. This also means that five years after the implementation of the National Five Standards in Beijing, the technical reserves and R&D of some domestic car companies are all lagging behind.

It is worth noting that this time from the beginning of the implementation of the National Standards in Beijing to the national standard of six, leaving only less than three years for car companies. At the same time, the introduction of the Sixth National Standard will inevitably accelerate the exit of vehicles that comply with the National Five Standards. This undoubtedly makes the domestic auto companies that have just completed the upgrade of the National Five Standards feel pressured under the background of weak technology and shortage of funds.

Zhang Zhiyong believes that at present, under the pressure of environmental protection, the world is upgrading emission standards. Mitsubishi and other multinational car companies have also fallen into the predicament of counterfeiting due to the pressure of emission standards this year. Domestic implementation of the Sixth National Standard will inevitably put pressure on companies. However, this cannot be an excuse to evade the upgrading of emission technologies. The entire industry will face a new round of market tests in the future.


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